World Bank

World Bank projects demand for minerals to double by 2040 globally

The World Bank said demand for key minerals like copper, lithium, nickel, and rare earths is projected to nearly double by 2040, driven by the clean energy transition (EVs, wind, solar).

According to the World Bank, the surge requires significant new investment (over $500 billion by 2040) and presents opportunities for developing nations, but also necessitates responsible mining, improved governance, and stronger supply chains to meet goals sustainably and avoid negative social/environmental impacts.

The bank says this would result as minerals are essential for modern tech and green energy (smartphones, EVs, batteries, solar panels).

Specifically, lithium demand could rise significantly (e.g., ninefold), while graphite, nickel, and copper demand is also set to double or more.

The World Bank says meeting this demand requires massive investment in extraction, processing, and infrastructure.

No doubt, this offers a chance for mineral-rich nations to diversify, create jobs, and build infrastructure, but requires strong policies and governance.

However, there are challenges. Increased mining poses risks to water resources, ecosystems, and communities, highlighting the need for sustainable practices and recycling.

Consequently, the World Bank supports the “Climate-Smart Mining Initiative” to help countries manage this transition responsibly, ensuring benefits for development while minimizing environmental footprints.

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