Oil

Nigeria leads U.S. crude oil imports from Africa despite historic trade shift

Between January and August 2025, Nigeria exported 33.23 million barrels of crude oil to the United States, valued at approximately $2.57 billion, solidifying its position as Africa’s largest crude supplier to the U.S. market.

This volume accounted for over half of all African crude exports to the U.S. during that period.

The U.S. Mission celebrated this strong trade relationship, noting its role in fostering job creation and shared prosperity.

However, this robust export performance comes amid a notable shift in bilateral oil trade dynamics.

Earlier in 2025, a historic reversal occurred when Nigeria, for the first time, imported more crude oil from the United States than it exported during the months of February and March. According to U.S. Energy Information Administration data, U.S. exports to Nigeria surged to 169,000 barrels per day in March, while imports from Nigeria fell to 72,000 b/d over the same period.

Analysts attribute this shift primarily to the expanding domestic refining capacity in Nigeria, spearheaded by the massive 650,000-barrel-per-day Dangote Refinery.

  • As the refinery ramps up operations, its demand for crude has temporarily altered Nigeria’s export flow and increased imports for optimal feedstock blending.

Looking forward, expectations are that Nigeria’s crude exports to the U.S. will rebound in 2026. This anticipated increase is linked to the Dangote Refinery’s expansion into international markets for refined products, a move projected to curb Nigeria’s fuel import dependency, conserve foreign exchange, and enhance overall sector efficiency.

About The Author