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CBN projects bullish capital market, stronger growth for Nigeria in 2026

The Central Bank of Nigeria has forecast that the nation’s capital market will remain bullish in 2026, driven by the ongoing bank recapitalisation exercise, rising investor confidence, and supportive policy measures.

This outlook is detailed in the CBN’s newly released “Macroeconomic Outlook for Nigeria, 2026: Consolidating Macroeconomic Stability Amid Global Uncertainty.”

Key projections from the CBN report include: economic growth expected to rise to 4.49% in 2026, up from 3.89% in 2025, supported by structural reforms and a gradual easing of monetary policy and inflation projected to moderate to an average of 12.94% in 2026, aided by declining food prices and lower fuel costs due to improved domestic refining capacity.

Also, external reserves are forecast to increase to $51.04 billion, backed by stronger exports, steady remittances, and higher oil and gas output. The current account surplus is expected to reach $18.81 billion.

The CBN emphasized that the bank recapitalisation programme will strengthen financial stability, deepen market activity, and enhance the banking sector’s ability to support private-sector-led growth.

While highlighting potential risks—including inflationary pressures, global market volatility, geopolitical tensions, and possible oil production disruptions—the apex bank reaffirmed its commitment to balancing price stability with economic growth.

It stated that appropriate policy tools would be deployed to sustain exchange rate stability, attract foreign investment, and strengthen confidence in Nigeria’s financial markets.

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